Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.005209 0.005760 0.006358 0.007054 0.007847 0.008725 0.009774
2025-07-20 0.004396 0.005170 0.006075 0.007220 0.008643 0.010368 0.012645
2025-07-27 0.003841 0.004698 0.005751 0.007155 0.009006 0.011400 0.014792
2025-08-03 0.003470 0.004377 0.005536 0.007151 0.009387 0.012438 0.017038
2025-08-10 0.003154 0.004081 0.005303 0.007070 0.009620 0.013266 0.019071
2025-08-17 0.002940 0.003892 0.005185 0.007116 0.010014 0.014345 0.021613
2025-08-24 0.002722 0.003674 0.004999 0.007036 0.010197 0.015112 0.023760
2025-08-31 0.002496 0.003424 0.004743 0.006821 0.010139 0.015478 0.025274
2025-09-07 0.002354 0.003281 0.004627 0.006802 0.010381 0.016345 0.027786
2025-09-14 0.002286 0.003242 0.004662 0.007016 0.011018 0.017951 0.031926
2025-09-21 0.002144 0.003080 0.004493 0.006885 0.011053 0.018497 0.034097
2025-09-28 0.002015 0.002929 0.004331 0.006748 0.011060 0.018982 0.036221
2025-10-05 0.001918 0.002826 0.004244 0.006743 0.011323 0.020028 0.039840
2025-10-12 0.001860 0.002782 0.004250 0.006900 0.011907 0.021795 0.045497
2025-10-19 0.001766 0.002672 0.004139 0.006839 0.012066 0.022719 0.049386
2025-10-26 0.001691 0.002589 0.004065 0.006835 0.012334 0.023909 0.054216
2025-11-02 0.001610 0.002490 0.003957 0.006758 0.012445 0.024766 0.058387
2025-11-09 0.001555 0.002432 0.003916 0.006802 0.012807 0.026245 0.064658
2025-11-16 0.001485 0.002344 0.003817 0.006726 0.012906 0.027121 0.069436
2025-11-23 0.001402 0.002228 0.003659 0.006522 0.012704 0.027243 0.071964
2025-11-30 0.001351 0.002167 0.003598 0.006504 0.012914 0.028420 0.078181
2025-12-07 0.001334 0.002165 0.003643 0.006707 0.013648 0.031064 0.090175
2025-12-14 0.001275 0.002083 0.003535 0.006583 0.013605 0.031639 0.095105